Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Then again, a senators PARS score isnt everything. On issues, the survey found strong support for Lee's signing into law a bill banning student-athletes from competing in a sport designated for a gender other than the one listed on the student's birth certificate. Bill Lee may refer to: Bill Lee (Tennessee) Bill Lee (Utah) Bill Lee (Vermont) This disambiguation page lists articles with similar titles. A Democratic senator with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARS of +9 (2+7 = 9). In our average of polls of the generic congressional ballot,6 Republicans currently lead by 2.6 percentage points (45.5 percent to 42.9 percent). Bill Lee arrives for his State of the State Address in the House Chamber of the Capitol building in Nashville, Tenn., Monday, Jan. 31, 2022. The latest 'Popularity Above Replacement Governor' scores Governors' net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the. The struggling party has its next chance at an upset in about 15 months, when Republican Gov. The draft majority opinion, written by conservativeJustice Samuel Alito, attacks the landmark 1973Roe v. Wade decisionas incorrectly decided. Lee's disapproval rating sits at 34%, according to the latest survey. Independent candidate Evan McMullin raised more money in the last three months of 2021 than any other Lee challenger, outpacing the senator as well in his latest quarterly Federal Election Commission campaign finance report. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. And 72% said they supported using taxpayer dollars for convicted people to access rehabilitation programs such as mental health care or addiction treatment. Learn more about new and emerging IPR faculty research. Lee resisted calling a special session this fall but to no avail, as legislators passed sweeping bills during the dead of night rolling back many COVID-19 restrictions. Among Democrats, 79 percent of those polled said they approve of Bidens performance, while last year 92 percent voiced support for him. Isom and Edwards are gathering voter signatures to secure a spot on the primary ballot under Utahs dual nomination system. The poll recorded a stark 10-point drop from 65%. Approval of his overall performance stood at 37% in August 2022, a drop of 11 percentage points from 48% in November 2021. Lee continues to enjoy strong support from Republicans, but that too dropped from 87 to 82 percent. Sen. Bill Hagerty's rating mirrored Blackburn's, dropping from 49% to 47%. Meanwhile, President Biden's approval rating in Tennessee fell to 31%. Graduate & Professional School Admissions, Vanderbilt University to host Clinton Global Initiative University annual meeting in 2023, Acclaimed journalist warns against indifference in MLK Day keynote; students step up for day of service, Vanderbilt biochemists join international researchers in discovery of the first new antibiotic for urinary tract infections in more than 20 years, Vanderbilt engineer receives NSF award to develop neural analysis methodology, American Association for Public Opinion Researchs Transparency Initiative, Vanderbilt Poll: Nashville headed in the wrong direction, Site Development: Digital Strategies (Communications and Marketing. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Bill Lee and a 57% to 43% favorability rating for President Donald Trump. Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Golden said regardless of primaries, Republicans are the dominant force in Tennessee, and with legislative lines being redrawn next year, Republicans should emerge from 2022 even stronger than they are today. Tennessee's governor Bill Lee had an extreme plan to "fix" education in the state. Ogles praised DeSantis for having "led the way" on a number of issues ranging from transgender sports and transgender restroom legislation to battling Facebook and "protecting your rights against business against censorship. Millennials 29% 55% Gen X 19% 54% Baby Boomers 22% 55% YouGov Ratings YouGov Ratings measures Marsha Blackburn's popularity and fame every quarter. While Republicans are much more supportive of a 2024 Trump campaign than Democrats are, they, too, showed declining interest68 percent supported the idea, down 11 points from December 2021. They also plan to seek the nomination at the state GOP convention where Lee has the inside track as delegates tend to be more conservative than Utah voters overall. Read about our award-winning faculty and students and browse their media mentions. Based on Morning Consults approval ratings1 for every senator and governor in the country (now updated for the first quarter of 2022), PARS and PARG attempt to measure how much stronger (or weaker) a politician is than a generic (or, to use a term from baseball, replacement-level) candidate from their party would be. Lee raised about eight times more. Lee has several challengers within his own party including former Utah legislator Becky Edwards, business and community leader Ally Isom, and Richfield resident Ty Jensen. Confidence in public officials dropped across the board since May. They may gripe about public education as an abstract concept, and they may direct their frustrations toward state-level administrators, but they dont like dumping on teachers. In an op-ed published by the Tennessean on July 18, Arnn tried to do the damage control Lee wouldnt. Isom brought in $101,000 during that time. The number one issue that Republican primary voters want the party to focus on heading into 2022, at 28%, is stopping crime and supporting law enforcement. But after Corker dropped out - the senator had drawn Trump's ire with criticisms in a number of areas - Ogles bowed out to Blackburn, then a congresswoman and favorite among GOP conservatives. a technical oversight in the lethal injection process. Analyzing critical issues to improve learning and outcomes. Join our leading experts as they present policy-focused findings. Biden's Approval Rating Surges After Hitting Low Mark In July, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Half Of Americans Say Trump Should Be Prosecuted On Criminal Charges Over His . Scott, who is the only member of that trio who may seek re-election this year, has seen his approval rating fall from 84% in the first quarter of 2021 to 72% in the first quarter of 2022. New poll gives early peek. "We're interested in understanding the contours of what Tennesseans are thinking.". Asked about Lee, 85% voiced approval for the businessman who is up for re-election in 2022, while 86% of Republicans said in response to another question that they had favorable views of Lee's job performance. Assessing and rewarding performance in sectors such as healthcare. Theres a general dissatisfaction with the direction of the country right now, and we pick that up in a lot of different wayswhether it be in the national poll or in how people are viewing, , Geer said. Thats not a very healthy set of attitudes to have about our country, and its not a very particularly optimistic way of thinking forward., More: Poll: Tennesseans support ban on trans sports, cutting jobless benefits but are against permitless carry. Meanwhile, Tennessee's president's (Biden) approval rating has fallen to 31 percent. People affiliated with the PAC, Beat Bill Lee, published a press release on their website this week. Sen. McMullin hauled in just over $1 million since entering the race last October, and has about $702,000 on hand to start the year. Finally, the two governors with the worst PARGs are Democrats Kate Brown of Oregon (-25) and David Ige of Hawaii (-41). Overall, 36 percent of respondents said abortion should be legal in all cases. A new Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics poll shows 42% of Utah voters approve of the job Lee is doing, while 38% disapprove. Browse our latest newsletters featuring prominent IPR news stories or subscribe to our mailing list. Im the only conservative in this race who can stop the Radical Left, Lee wrote. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's approval rating dipped slightly from 50% in May 2021 to 48%. Tennesseans offer a more favorable assessment, though, of the states economy, with 64 percent responding the economy is very good or fairly good right now. Even though the comments were obviously insulting, the sudden anger of the Tennessee public came as something of a surprise. Other. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. Approval polling average. If the same state had a Republican governor with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). The governors race in Rhode Island could be a sleeper, though, considering Gov. Probing how social and cultural contexts affect health. We believe in our teachers, he told reporters on July 6. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Seventy-nine percent of Republicans surveyed said they were "favorable" toward Blackburn - 53% were "very favorable" while 26% were "somewhat favorable." William Harold Nungesser is a Republican Party candidate for office. That said, they are all in very safe states, so they shouldnt be in any danger. Turbocharged Production Follow Us Politics Where the Right-Wing Attacks Against. Early polling indicates a tight race. When the General Assembly convenes again next January, any hope that Hillsdale will operate in Tennessee has been shattered, Mark White, a Republican and the House Education Administration chairman, wrote on Facebook on July 10. ). Only 25 percent of Democrats say that is appropriate. "In general, there's enthusiasm about the Tennessee state economy, kind of much more so than the national economy,". - Bill Lee. Meanwhile, President Biden's approval rating in Tennessee fell to 31%. Everss PARG is just +1, suggesting perceptions of him are strongly dependent on partisanship. The statewide poll is conducted annually by, Vanderbilt Universitys Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions, . Lee graduated from Auburn University in 1981 with a degree in mechanical engineering. Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty have approval ratings of 79% and 78%, respectively, but Trump has an approval rating of an astounding 90% by GOP voters. This is down from his high of 63 percent in January and earlier in February, but. ", "In Tennessee, we did some of those things, but we did them halfway," Ogles said. While there are some partisan differencesa slight majority of Republicans prefer the death penalty (52 percent) and 66 percent of Democrats prefer life imprisonment with absolutely no possibility of parolethe partisan divisions are not as great as those found on other issues. But the bigger questions remains: Why, at such a tough time for teachers and public education more generally, did these leaked comments in Tennessee change the trajectory of the states education policies? More than 60% of Republican primary voters in the survey say they approve of the way Ivey is handling her job as governor, while 28.3% say they disapprove. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. The latest data is based on 1550 nationally representative interviews of the US population, collected during Q3 2022. Poll co-director Joshua Clinton noted a "concerning" trend of partisan distrust, with 63% of Republicans who responded sayingthey believe Democrats are "dangerous," and 48% of Democrats responding similarly toward Republicans. Approval polling average. ), Senators like Manchin and McConnell are exceptions, though. Slate is published by The Slate Group, a Graham Holdings Company. By contrast, Tennesseans strongly indicate that they think students should be required to play on school athletic teams that match their gender at the time of birth. A Deseret News/Hinckley Institute poll in December found nearly two-thirds of Utahns have neither a favorable nor an unfavorable impression of him. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. He said he was "almost always amazed" while polling the state's 2018 governor's race because he was polling in several states and Lee was the only candidate he knew of who had "upward trajectory the entire race.". Lee has less bipartisan support than his predecessor, which Geer said could be attributed to increasing polarization across the county and in the state legislature. The data includes hearing office name, total dispositions, decisions, allowances, denials and fully favorable or . "From his handling of the pandemic to recent legislation signed into law, Lee's support among his base looks impenetrable heading into his re-election next year," wrote Andrew Weissert, who founded ARW Strategies and is former head pollster with We Ask America. Governor approval ratings vary by state from as high as 80% to as low as 26%. Tony Evers of Wisconsin may be more at the mercy of the national mood. Still, Lee, who raised more than $650,000 in the last quarter, has more than $2.1 million in his campaign war chest. Key highlights are noted below, and the full speech as prepared for delivery can be found on the Governor's website. Seventy percent of Democrats polled favored abortion being legal, while only 8 percent of Republicans prefer pro-choice legislation. One elementary school, on the verge of opening in the fall with a Hillsdale College curriculum, said it was severing its ties with the organization, so as not to participate in media frenzies. In other cases, school boards rejected applications from Hillsdale-affiliated programs. DeSantis' approval rating is down to 36% and Abbott's is even lower, at. Only 17% of respondents thought abortion should be outlawed altogether. Republican Gov. Independent Sens. Where in the World Is Trumps Special Counsel? PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. Teachers around the country have been at the receiving end of some of the worst political vitriol of the past few years, as they are often implicated in right-wing moral panics (see: groomer controversies and hysteria over critical race theory) and have faced an onslaught of criticism, harassment, and scapegoating for what they haveand have notbeen able to do for children during COVID. Published by Statista Research Department , Jan 3, 2023. Heres what to expect. and last updated 8:45 AM, Jul 12, 2022 NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) Since Tennessee Gov. Among Republicans in the poll, though, his approval rating jumps to 57%, but down a little from past surveys. "He didn't call the special session, but he's getting some of the blame for it.". But this year, McMullin will be waiting on the ballot for the Republican nominee. Among the others, Tennessee Gov. 2A new political action committee was created in April called beatbilllee.com. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan is somewhere in the middle, with a PARG of +6. Lee's chief of staff, Blake Harris, and his spokespersons had no comment on ARW's survey. Only 27 percent believe the U.S. economy is in good shape, down significantly from 47 percent of those polled last year who said the economy was very good or fairly good.. One of the themes our latest poll shows is that here in Tennessee, there is a declining appetite to have a replay of the 2020 presidential election in 2024., Attitudes about criminal justice reform show some bipartisan support, Those insights come as Lee last month paused executions in, Tennessee through 2022 after issuing a reprieve to inmate Oscar Franklin Smith due to. 08/07/2022 - Funding Harmful Southern Border Wall Construction; See all recent votes and take action. In addition, some groups select votes that tend to favor members of one political party over another, rather than choosing votes based solely on issue concerns. Bill Lee won his election in 2018, the Republican has led the state during a global pandemic, uprisings. Keep in mind that ratings done by special interest groups often do not represent a non-partisan stance. Bill Lees approval rating down, Tennessee voters want more bipartisanship according to new poll, Get the Android Weather app from Google Play, Ariza Bellevue developers unveil new plans to raise, Lawmakers look to change elections and campaign finance, OSHA cites Amazon for safety hazards at three warehouses, Inmates bust out of Missouri prison, abscond with, Pro wrestling star Jay Briscoe dies in car crash, Titans tab Ran Carthon as next General Manager, TSU G Erica Haynes-Overtons return to basketball, Alabama basketball player charged with murder after, UGa football player killed in wreck after title celebration, Bills Hamlin says heart is with team at game,, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Tune in as IPR faculty explain their research. It's been more than three years since Ralph Ward was taken into custody at a convenience store in Nolensville. Nationally, Sen. Joe Manchin is best known as a thorn in liberals side because he has opposed President Bidens agenda on the social safety net, voting rights, abortion and more. Tennessee election: Gov. Wilson: 23%. Tennessee Gov. Election 2022; Tech; US & World. July 5, 2021 at 4:06 p.m. Lee gets only 19% approval among Utahns who say they dont belong to a political party. All rights reserved. That could make reelection tough if he were up in 2022. A final opinion is expected to be published in late June. But Democratic Gov. Providing rigorous research insights on key questions. 603 LV. Examine the latest IPR visual tools and apps. That will be essential in a year when, based solely on partisan lean and generic congressional ballot polling, youd expect a Republican to win their home states, all else being equal. Other Republicans echoed Whites comments. There was also immediate practical fallout. But in Tennessee, the tide turned abruptly on Hillsdales efforts. Tennessee has one of the strictest abortion restriction laws in the country. Gov. An unusual coalition of opponents in Utah is trying to unseat him. The school also helped revise the civics standards for the state, and the Florida Department of Education has offered $3,000 bonuses to teachers who take a Hillsdale training that reportedly focused on the need for Christianity in society. This unpopularity could drag him down in November, allowing Democrats to flip a Senate seat that, on paper, should remain Republican in this environment. Some red state governors have welcomed the influence. A spokesman for McNally, the Republican lieutenant governor, put out a statement in response to WTVF saying he obviously supported the Civil Rights Act. Only 25 percent of Democrats say that is appropriate. ", State Rep. Yusuf Hakeem, D-Chattanooga, said, "I think the governor willingly or unwillingly has lived up to his conservative Trumpish bona fides, but that may not be enough for some people in his party.". Follow on Twitter @AndySher1. But on June 30, a Nashville television station, WTVF, reported that the president of Hillsdale, Larry Arnn, had mocked and belittled public school teachers during a private reception as a way to assure guests that public education was a failed institution. According to a Tennessee Star poll of 1001 likely Republican primary voters in Tennessee conducted by Triton Research from March 5 to March 10, Gov. "I'm a seventh-generation Tennessean with deep roots in cattle farming and running a family business. Their four most vulnerable incumbents this fall Sens. Dan Jones & Associates conducted the poll of 815 registered Utah voters Jan. 20-28. MONTGOMERY - A new Alabama Daily News poll of Republican voters shows Gov. "Democrats and Republicans both thought that was a bad idea," Geer said, citing the poll results. Polls ending Dec. 12, 2022. Utah has not elected a Democratic Senator since 1970. Republicans like Mike Lee. Poll co-directors John Geer, Ginny and Conner Searcy Dean of the College of Arts and Science and professor of political science, and Josh Clinton, Abby and Jon Winkelried Professor of Political Science, say the new findings align with a national trend of waning support for Biden, even among Democrats and independent voters. The Budget in Brief: Summary of Gov. In a survey of U.S. adults conducted in October 2022, 27 percent . The governor did not make it a secret that he wanted twice as many. Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty, although not quite as strong as for Lee, who also had higher percentages over "very favorable" ratings from Republicans. ARW Strategies' June 26-27 poll of 600 likely GOP primary voters found 90% of them expressing a favorable opinion of Trump. Senators Bill Hagerty and Marsha Blackburn joined the group of senators challenging president-elect Joe Biden's victory as Congress met to certify the Electoral College vote. I would venture to say that the majority of Tennessee teachers are Republicans.. Tennesseans also see a U.S. economy increasingly in trouble. In his State of the State speech earlier this year, Lee said that Arnn planned to open 50 charter schools in Tennessee. DeSantis, a likely contender for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, held steady in his overall performance approval at 41% in November 2021 and August 2022. While Tennessee voters are largely unhappy with the nation's leadership, Gov. Hagerty, elected last November, received 78% favorability ratings among the GOP base. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. Tennessee voters also are less inclined to see the merit of another presidential run by Donald Trump. The president moved into 2022 with a stubbornly low approval rating, facing a number of issues including a lack of success in passing the Democrats' $1.75 trillion Build Back Better Act, the . Send me updates about Slate special offers. As Arnn waved off concerns about finding qualified teachers for his new schoolsyou dont have to be an expert to educate a child because basically anybody can do itand spouted off other offensive assumptions, Gov. Support local journalism by becoming a member. A poll taken by the Ratings Sociological Group and published by the Kyiv Independent on Sunday showed President Volodymyr Zelensky soaring to 91 percent approval for his war leadership, a huge rebound from post-pandemic approval ratings hovering in the 30s. Only 37% percent of voters disapprove of DeSantis, while 6% were unsure. It shoots to 74% among survey respondents who identified themselves as "very conservative" and 57% among "somewhat conservative" voters. But the two-term incumbent remains well-liked among Utah Republicans who largely determine U.S. Senate races in the conservative state, though a viable independent is poised to change the dynamic this year. Among Republicans in the poll, though, his approval rating jumps to 57%, but down a little from past surveys. Illinois Gov. Governors running for reelection in swing states also have some very different PARGs that explain why some of them are vulnerable this year, while others probably dont have anything to worry about. Thirty-seven percent responded that the death penalty is the better of the two choices. A trio of red-state Democrats Kentuckys Andy Beshear, Kansass Laura Kelly and Louisianas John Bel Edwards all have PARGs between +31 and +51 as well. Sexton, the House speaker, told WTVF the legislature would also be examining a loophole that allowed the governor to approve supplemental materials without legislative oversighta loophole that would have allowed Lee to approve the 1776 curriculum on his own. As your 50th governor of Tennessee, I am committed to growing a state where 6.8 million families build their American dream.". Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? More detailed results and methodology can be found at vu.edu/poll. 2022 Governors Elections (39) 35% supported keeping Metro Nashville as a single congressional district, with 39% neither supporting or opposing the move. Clinton left office in 2001 with the joint-highest approval rating of any U.S. president in the modern era, alongside Franklin D. Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan. Bill Lee and save our families." Its quest, again according to the website, has 107 volunteers out of some 4 million registered voters. Tennesseans say they support state and federal governments supporting scientific discovery. Among Tennesseans surveyed, 48 percent identified as pro-choice, and 50 percent identified as pro-life. Approval Ratings (129) Scott and Kelly4 seem to be in the best position, especially Scott: Not only does he have more cross-party appeal than Kelly (+77 PARG), but he is also a Republican running in a good Republican year. Fourteen percent of Republicans surveyed disapproved of Lee's job performance, while 11% view him unfavorably. Lees approval rating among all Utah voters has dipped three points since an October 2021 Deseret News/Hinckley Institute poll, while his disapproval has climbed four points. Copyright 2023, Chattanooga Times Free Press, Inc. Asked about Lee, Tennessee Democratic Party Chair Hendrell Remus said, "Obviously, I think he's doing a terrible job. As for Trump, 72% of GOP base voters held "very favorable" opinions of the former president while another 18% were "somewhat favorable." With only a few exceptions, most governors are less popular now than they were in the early days of the pandemic. Site Development: Digital Strategies (Communications and Marketing.) Abortion rights advocates at Utah rally pledge to fight after leaked Supreme Court draft opinion, The next phase of Salt Lake City International airport is taking shape. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? The statewide poll is conducted annually by Vanderbilt Universitys Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions. Search IPR working papers for research insights. He continues to hold a 55% approval rating, but according to the Vanderbilt Poll, the governor lost popularity among Democrats and independents, in part for his role in legislation opposed by the business community during an October special session that was . It shoots to 74% among survey respondents who identified themselves as very conservative and 57% among somewhat conservative voters. Lowest Opinion Of Trump Among Voters In Seven Years, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Biden Approval Rating Climbs . Were humbled and grateful to Utahns who are stepping up, working together and putting differences aside in order to defeat Mike Lee.. Vanderbilt surveyed1,002 registered Tennessee voters between Nov. 16 and Dec. 6 for the poll, with a margin of error of plus or minus3.7 percentage points. She has taken in $516,000 since getting into the race last July and has $240,000 on hand, her FEC report shows. That number is 20 points shy of former president Donald J. Trump's 89.7 percent favorability - the highest . Photos by Getty Images Plus. (All Actions) Tracker: Tip: This bill has the status Introduced. How Every Senator And Governor Ranks According To Popularity Above Replacement, reinstate former President Donald Trumps account, What The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common, Saquon Barkley And Daniel Jones Are Finally Making The Giants Look Good. John Kennedy is a Republican Party candidate for office. fellow and longtime Republican operative Bill Whalen as he added up the . Kelly, on the other hand, does have a brand distinct from the national Democratic Party, but its an open question whether she can get enough Kansas Republicans who approve of her to take the extra step and vote for her as well. The Northwestern University Two-Generation Research Initiative, Summer Undergraduate Research Assistant Program, Graduate Student & Postdoctoral Opportunities, Training Materials, Resources & Data Tools, Economist Raj Chetty to speak on Creating Equality of Opportunity in America, Nearly 8 in 10 Americans Still Concerned About Russias Invasion of Ukraine, Survey: Governors Approval Ratings Hold Steady Before November Elections. S approval rating Climbs supporting scientific discovery Samuel Alito, attacks the 1973Roe... In October 2022, 27 percent, 36 percent of Democrats polled favored abortion being legal, while only percent... 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Last November, received 78 % favorability rating for President Donald J. &. 08/07/2022 - Funding Harmful Southern Border Wall Construction ; see all recent votes and how the.... # x27 ; s President & # x27 ; s approval rating, his PARS would be -5 2-7. A net approval of +2 in an op-ed published by the slate Group, a Holdings! People affiliated with the PAC, Beat Bill Lee and a 57 %, but down little. The merit of another presidential run by Donald Trump last updated 8:45 AM, Jul 12, NASHVILLE! Like Manchin and McConnell are exceptions, most governors are less popular now than they were the. Voters in Seven years, Quinnipiac University national poll Finds ; Biden approval rating.. Alito, attacks the landmark 1973Roe v. Wade decisionas incorrectly decided Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee that! Population, collected during Q3 2022 pandemic, uprisings 's, dropping from 49 % to %! 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